Wednesday, November 2, 2016

The Future Is Here for Health Care

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November 2, 2016

Good morning.

I’m in San Diego this morning, for the inaugural Fortune Brainstorm Health conference, which is providing a fascinating glimpse into the future of health care. Yesterday’s sessions ranged from an exhilarating look at how big data and artificial intelligence can improve cancer diagnoses to a disturbing discussion of how unprepared we are for the next pandemic, and included a demonstration of how virtual reality can reduce pain and a meditation session with Deepak Chopra.

But my favorite session of the day was my colleague Cliff Leaf’s interview with Nobel Laureate Elizabeth Blackburn. She has done breakthrough research on telomeres, which are little caps at the end of our DNA that wear away with age. Her work has provided a scientific window into the aging process, and how to slow it down.

Her conclusion? “Essentially what your mother told you: exercise, sleep well, have a good attitude, and eat decent food.”

You can read more from the conference here .

More news below.

Alan Murray
@alansmurray
alan.murray@fortune.com
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Top News

Markets Multiply the Brexit Effect by the Trump Factor

Financial markets have the jitters. A couple of nationwide polls that put Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton have pushed the S&P500 down to a five-month low and the dollar down to a three-week low. Nationwide polls have limited usefulness in the U.S. electoral system, and state-wide polls still give Clinton the advantage. Stats guru Nate Silver considers Trump "an underdog, but no longer a longshot," but markets are in no mood to repeat being caught off-guard as they were by the Brexit referendum. German government bonds, Treasurys and—inevitably--gold are all benefiting.  Fortune

Fed Set to Keep Its Head Below the Parapet

The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decisions later, and is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged rather than add to the spike in market volatility. Data out yesterday broadly kept the case for an interest rate rise in December intact, with the ISM Manufacturing index rebounding from October's shock contraction, and indicating higher output and price levels. For the doves, there was the news that construction spending fell 0.4% in September, and a slew of auto sales data that showed a gradual slowdown taking shape. There was also a further drop in oil prices, which will, at a minimum, strengthen the case for doing nothing today. Fortune

Valeant's Fire Sale

Weighed down by debt, Valeant Pharmaceuticals confirmed it's in talks to sell its gastroenterology drug Salix, which it bought for $11.1 billion last year. The Wall Street Journal said Takeda Pharmaceutical was the likely buyer, something Valeant didn't confirm. The WSJ also suggested a price of $10 billion, which would imply a $1.1 billion loss on the asset. Valeant had told investors in August it was only looking to sell $8 billion of non-core assets, so the Salix sale smells strongly of problems bigger than management was aware of at the time. But by putting a price on one of its underlying businesses, it does at least make it harder for the stock market to discounting it as aggressively as it currently does. Fortune

Microsoft Bemoans Hack, Takes on Slack

Microsoft admitted that a hacker group linked to Russia and to recent breaches of U.S. political parties and campaigns had been among those exploiting a security flaw in Windows that was disclosed by Google Monday without the Redmond-based giant's permission. Hackers had gained a foothold in people's computers by exploiting an unknown flaw in Adobe Flash—a bug that Adobe patched last week. To raise company (and customer) spirits, Microsoft is expected to launch its answer to the popular team-messaging app Slack this week along with the (previously announced) roll-out of a new mobile development toolkit.  Fortune

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CEOs: How will your tenure affect your performance?
Does a lengthy stint in the corner office inevitably blunt a leader's cutting edge? New research sheds light on what the top executive must do to stay sharp.
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Around the Water Cooler

Chipotle's Ells Gets a Grilling

Chipotle Mexican Grill's founder and co-CEO Steve Ells is under increasing pressure. Two union-affiliated shareholders, Amalgamated Bank and CtW Investment Group, said Tuesday they wanted to replace him as chairman with an independent director. Any vote on the proposal wouldn't take place until next year's shareholder meeting, but the revolt against a management that has overseen a near-60% drop in the share price while paying itself handsomely is clearly gathering steam. New York City Comptroller Scott Stringer, who oversees a pension fund that owns Chipotle shares, immediately backed the new proposal, and CalPERS also made approving noises. It's all grist to the mill of Bill Ackman's Pershing Square, which disclosed a 9.9% stake in September. Fortune

Herbalife's CEO Is Stepping Down

On the subject of Ackman, Herbalife said CEO Michael Johnson would step down next year after 13 years at the helm. Most of that was spent in a life-or-death struggle with Pershing Square, from which Johnson emerged bloodied, but unbowed, as the saying goes. Johnson's White Knight, Carl Icahn, said he fully supported the board's choice of COO and former CFO Richard Goudis as Johnson's successor. He takes over at the start of a new chapter for Herbalife, which settled an Ackman-inspired FTC probe into its sales practices in July for $200 million. It said yesterday that net income fell 6.3% year-on-year in the three months to September. Fortune

Big Oil, India Throw Billions at Green Projects

One of the biggest factors behind the spread of renewable energy is the rapid expansion in its funding sources. Two cases in point: Reuters reported Wednesday that seven major oil companies, including Saudi Aramco, Royal Dutch Shell, BP and Total, will announce on Friday a new joint investment vehicle to cut carbon emissions, promote renewables and improve energy efficiency. Meanwhile, the Indian government is launching a $2 billion equity fund for renewable energy companies to help it deal with problems that owe as much to pollution and energy shortages as to Climate Change. The moves are timed to create a buzz ahead of the COP22 conference in Marrakesh next week, underlining their authors' commitments to the Climate Change goals agreed in Paris last year. Reuters

Gannett Drops Its Bid for Tronc

Gannett, the publisher of USA Today, finally admitted defeat in its pursuit of Tronc, the company behind the Chicago Tribune and the Los Angeles Times. Tronc, which had some explaining to do to upset shareholders, said it had agreed a sale price with Gannett in September, but had been informed that Gannett couldn't get its financing together and consequently withdrew its approach. Tronc shares ended down 12.4%, ominously below the level they were at before Gannett made its move in June. Gannett's shares rose 1.9%. Fortune

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Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Tom Siebel's latest passion

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November 1, 2016

There was a time when the tech industry had its own version of Henry Ford's famous saying that he didn't care what color customers painted their cars, as long they chose black. Beige was the color of choice for early PCs. Boxy was the preferred shape.

This was before a concept known as design thinking took hold. It's a school of thought that means many things but most importantly that the needs of end users should be paramount when designing products. It's an important idea in that design thinking can lead all sorts of people in all sorts of functions to make goods and services people will want to buy.

Several academic centers have arisen to teach design thinking, most prominently at Stanford (the famous "d.school" ), as well as Yale and Georgia Tech. That prominence started to gnaw at a great entrepreneur and moneymaker, Tom Siebel, who graduated from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign—my alma mater, too. Siebel is funding a new, $50 million design-thinking-focused institute at the university that he hopes will be a place many disciplines can come together. "The big trend at universities is interdisciplinary efforts," says Siebel, noting that graduate and advanced research programs like medicine and bioengineering have benefited from the trend. "The design school is the undergraduate version of interdisciplinary thinking." (Siebel is putting up half the money.)

Siebel sold his namesake software company to Oracle 11 years ago. His current company, formerly C3 Energy, has executed a "pivot" of late, rebranding itself C3 IoT. Its software connects and monitors all the "things" connected electronically on corporate and government networks. Siebel, who is 63 and says the company is "really fun," says C3 IoT has raised a total of $200 million in capital, most recently a $70 million investment from private equity firm TPG.

Being nimble enough to go from "customer relationship management software" to energy monitoring to keeping track of sensors connected the Internet is quite a feat. So is giving back to a public university in the Midwest that gave him start.

Have a well-designed day.

Adam Lashinsky
@adamlashinsky
adam_lashinsky@fortune.com

 

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BITS AND BYTES

Network equipment company Brocade could be the next to go. The company's stock rose 22% Monday to an annual high after Bloomberg reported it's in "advanced" talks with a potential buyer. Brocade, which posted about $2.3 billion in sales last year, is much smaller than its fiercest rival Cisco. (Bloomberg, Investor's Business Daily)

Palantir gets another shot at big government contract. The data analytics and security software firm sued the U.S. Army for a chance to design the next phase of its military command systems. The original requirements made it tough for outsiders to bid, a position that Palantir successfully challenged. The contract could be worth millions of dollars. (Bloomberg, Fortune)

The tablet market is shrinking again. Global shipments slipped almost 15% to 43 million in the third quarter, according to International Data Corp. Apple is still the share leader (about 22%), followed by Samsung, despite the company's smartphone recall debacle. (Fortune)

BlackBerry scores driverless car deal with Ford. The once-great smartphone company is recasting itself as a maker of highly secure software for Internet of things, including vehicles. (Reuters)

Xerox settles lawsuit that threatened break-up plan. The copier company is spinning its business process outsourcing business into a separate company. Xerox's largest individual shareholder Darwin Deason had issues with the original terms. (Reuters)

Keep an eye on this help desk software company. FreshDesk, which has more than 80,000 customers including Cisco and Toshiba, on Tuesday disclosed $55 million in Series F funding. The new round brings its total backing to $150 million. (VentureBeat)

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PEOPLE AND CULTURE

Salesforce exec defects to style site Stitch Fix. Engineer Cathy Polinski most recently led the cloud software company's search strategy as a senior vice president. She'll act as chief technology officer for her new employer, a five-year-old venture founded by San Francisco entrepreneur Katrina Lake. (Stitch Fix)

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THE DOWNLOAD

How Apple is disappointing fans. Apple's event last week to unveil new laptops and some improvements to its TV set-top box software were underwhelming on multiple levels. Now some are questioning whether Apple's fundamental strategies for the two markets are running aground as well. Fortune's Aaron Pressman weighs in.

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IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Level 3 Investors to Get Big Payday With CenturyLink Acquisition,
by Aaron Pressman

Trello Claims 17 Million Fans for Popular Project Software, by Barb Darrow

Giphy Has Almost No Revenue But Is Worth $600 Million, by Mathew Ingram

Google Warns of an 'Actively Exploited' Microsoft Windows Bug,
by Robert Hackett

Delivery Startup Postmates Raises $140 Million, by Kia Kokalitcheva

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ONE MORE THING

Why PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel is a staunch supporter of Donald Trump. Speaking at the National Press Club in Washington on Monday, the Silicon Valley billionaire dismissed most of the Republican Presidential candidate's most outrageous comments as hyperbole. "No matter how crazy this election seems, it is less crazy than the condition of our country," Thiel said. (Fortune)

This edition of Data Sheet was curated by Heather Clancy.
Find past issues. Sign up for other Fortune newsletters.

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On the Etiquette of Dealing With Cyberattacks

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November 1, 2016

Good morning.

Google has disclosed the existence of a "zero day vulnerability" in Microsoft Windows software – meaning there's a hole in software that can be exploited by hackers. Google notified Microsoft of the vulnerability on Oct. 21, and then disclosed it publicly yesterday – much to Microsoft's annoyance. "We believe in coordinated vulnerability disclosure," the Seattle company responded. "Today's disclosure could put customers at potential risk." There is not yet a fix to the problem.

The spat highlights a bigger issue facing business. With cyber attacks on the rise, there is still stunningly little agreement or established protocol on how companies and government agencies should respond to such attacks.

I recently moderated an off-the-record session on the topic, where CEOs of some of the nation's largest companies stood up and told tales of massive cyber breaches. The one point on which they agreed was this: such incursions can't be prevented. But there was disagreement on what to disclose, when to disclose it, and how closely to work with government agencies.

This year's election has further highlighted the problem. While emails found on Anthony Weiner's computer are generating headlines in the final days of the campaign, it's the hacked emails released by WikiLeaks that should be the real cause for concern. Whoever wins the election is going to have to deal with the fact that cyberattacks have become one of the top threats facing the nation, and business and government need new protocols for how to respond.

More news below.

Alan Murray
@alansmurray
alan.murray@fortune.com
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Top News

 McDonald's Sets a Precedent With Labor Settlement

Or at least, that's what the franchise workers suing it for back pay and damages would have you believe. McDonald's itself argues that it only stumped up $3.75 million to avoid the continued distraction and expense of a legal action. Staff had claimed McDonald's was jointly responsible for franchisees' failure to keep accurate pay records and pay overtime. However, the settlement may well encourage further suits and settlements, all of which would clip away at the cost savings that McDonald's had planned to achieve by moving to an overwhelmingly franchise-run operation. Fortune

Rays of Light Everywhere! (Except Japan and Greece, obvs)

Manufacturing is picking up around the world. The monthly Purchasing Manager Indexes from research firm Markit showed China's and Russia's output rising at their fastest level in five and a half years, Indian activity at a 22-month high, and stabilization even in Turkey, in the throes of a massive disruption from Recep Tayyip Erdogan's witch-hunt of political opponents. Elsewhere, the Australian central bank decided the economy didn't need any more interest rate cuts, while yesterday Mexico posted its strongest quarter of GDP growth in over two years. Even Japanese producers were more optimistic than usual, although that didn't stop the Bank of Japan saying it would need even longer to get inflation back up to 2%. Oh, and Greece's economy is contracting sharply again, obviously. Markit

Oil on the Skids Again

Oil prices posted their sharpest one-day fall in weeks Monday on growing fears that OPEC and other big producer countries won't deliver the cuts they mooted last month. (Only a cynic would suggest that Saudi Arabia no longer feels the need to support prices with talk, now that it has got its $17.5 billion bond away.) Meanwhile in London, Royal Dutch Shell posted its strongest earnings statement since its megamerger with BG Group. Its preferred measure of underlying profit rose 18% on the year. BP, however, posted lower profits on the year. Both groups continue to see their debt level rise as cash flow falls short of dividends and (drastically reduced) capex commitments. Reuters

Macy's Gets Serious About Slimming

The downsizing of Macy's is underway. The struggling department store chain, which in August said it would close about 100 of its 750 or so namesake stores amid declining sales, sold five of its stores to the second largest U.S. mall developer, General Growth Properties, for $46 million. Macy's will keep operating its store in Tysons Galleria in McLean, Va., but lease it back from GGP. All the others will be closed by spring 2017. Macy's had a 2% drop in comparable sales in August, a sixth straight quarter of declines. Fortune

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content from Deloitte
CEOs: How will your tenure affect your performance?
Does a lengthy stint in the corner office inevitably blunt a leader's cutting edge? New research sheds light on what the top executive must do to stay sharp.
Read more from Deloitte
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Around the Water Cooler

Facebook Struggles With the Responsibility of Media Power

More than 70 rights groups asked Facebook to clarify its policies for removing content, especially at the behest of governments, alleging the company has repeatedly censored postings that document human rights violations. A letter sent to CEO Mark Zuckerberg raised recent cases where Facebook has deleted content involving police violence, removed iconic imagery from the Vietnam War and suspended the accounts of Palestinian journalists. The problem is not only in the actual suppression of the content, but in the company's refusal to discuss its decisions or create a platform for appeals, all of which would add to its operating costs. A billion users can generate an awful lot of legally problematic content, and more and more of them are using Facebook to break news rather than just recycle it.  Fortune

This Month's Viacom CEO Is…

…Bob Bakish, a 19-year veteran of the company who will take over from Tom Dooley yesterday. Dooley had taken over on a temporary basis after the power struggle in Sumner Redstone's empire ended with Philippe Dauman being pushed out. It looks like Bakish is himself only keeping the seat warm for someone else, with CBS CEO Leslive Moonves widely expected to take over at the helm of a combined Viacom-CBS company, once the bankers and shareholders have agreed on how best to do it.  Fortune

Wells Fargo Pays $50 Million to Settle Racketeering Claims

With every day that passes, it seems more and more that Wells Fargo's glowing post-crisis reputation stood on nothing more than a psychological need for the nation to believe that, somewhere, there was still a bank that was both big and decent. On Monday, the bank paid $50 million to settle a racketeering suit in which it was accused of overcharging hundreds of thousands of homeowners for appraisals ordered after they defaulted on their mortgage loans. If approved, it will resolve nationwide claims that the bank exploited borrowers who could least afford it, driving them further into default. Fortune

Pushing Back the Frontiers of Battery Power

Even new energy enthusiasts struggle to make a case for batteries replacing fuel combustion engines in aviation, but what's this? The Tier 1 Engineering company, together with inventor and entrepreneur Martine Rothblatt, has just successfully tested a manned battery-powered helicopter for the first time. The flight, which featured 1,250 pounds of lithium-ion batteries lifting a 2,500-pound helicopter, lasted five minutes and was "proof of concept", according to Rothblatt. She's now talking to helicopter vendors about putting a purpose-built battery pack into one of their products. Fortune

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